Accurate forecasting of urban air pollution is essential for protecting public health and guiding mitigation policies. While Deep Learning (DL) and hybrid pipelines dominate recent research, their complexity and limited interpretability hinder operational use. This study investigates whether lightweight additive models -- Facebook Prophet (FBP) and NeuralProphet (NP) -- can deliver competitive forecasts for particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$, PM$_{10}$) in Beijing, China. Using multi-year pollutant and meteorological data, we applied systematic feature selection (correlation, mutual information, mRMR), leakage-safe scaling, and chronological data splits. Both models were trained with pollutant and precursor regressors, with NP additionally leveraging lagged dependencies. For context, two machine learning baselines (LSTM, LightGBM) and one traditional statistical model (SARIMAX) were also implemented. Performance was evaluated on a 7-day holdout using MAE, RMSE, and $R^2$. Results show that FBP consistently outperformed NP, SARIMAX, and the learning-based baselines, achieving test $R^2$ above 0.94 for both pollutants. These findings demonstrate that interpretable additive models remain competitive with both traditional and complex approaches, offering a practical balance of accuracy, transparency, and ease of deployment.

Air pollution remains a leading global health and environmental risk, particularly in regions vulnerable to episodic air pollution spikes due to wildfires, urban haze and dust storms. Accurate forecasting of particulate matter (PM) concentrations is essential to enable timely public health warnings and interventions, yet existing models often underestimate rare but hazardous pollution events. Here, we present SynCast, a high-resolution neural forecasting model that integrates meteorological and air composition data to improve predictions of both average and extreme pollution levels. Built on a regionally adapted transformer backbone and enhanced with a diffusion-based stochastic refinement module, SynCast captures the nonlinear dynamics driving PM spikes more accurately than existing approaches. Leveraging on harmonized ERA5 and CAMS datasets, our model shows substantial gains in forecasting fidelity across multiple PM variables (PM$_1$, PM$_{2.5}$, PM$_{10}$), especially under extreme conditions. We demonstrate that conventional loss functions underrepresent distributional tails (rare pollution events) and show that SynCast, guided by domain-aware objectives and extreme value theory, significantly enhances performance in highly impacted regions without compromising global accuracy. This approach provides a scalable foundation for next-generation air quality early warning systems and supports climate-health risk mitigation in vulnerable regions.

Smart aquaculture systems depend on rich environmental data streams to protect fish welfare, optimize feeding, and reduce energy use. Yet public datasets that describe the air surrounding indoor tanks remain scarce, limiting the development of forecasting and anomaly-detection tools that couple head-space conditions with water-quality dynamics. We therefore introduce AQUAIR, an open-access public dataset that logs six Indoor Environmental Quality (IEQ) variables--air temperature, relative humidity, carbon dioxide, total volatile organic compounds, PM2.5 and PM10--inside a fish aquaculture facility in Amghass, Azrou, Morocco. A single Awair HOME monitor sampled every five minutes from 14 October 2024 to 9 January 2025, producing more than 23,000 time-stamped observations that are fully quality-controlled and publicly archived on Figshare. We describe the sensor placement, ISO-compliant mounting height, calibration checks against reference instruments, and an open-source processing pipeline that normalizes timestamps, interpolates short gaps, and exports analysis-ready tables. Exploratory statistics show stable conditions (median CO2 = 758 ppm; PM2.5 = 12 micrograms/m3) with pronounced feeding-time peaks, offering rich structure for short-horizon forecasting, event detection, and sensor drift studies. AQUAIR thus fills a critical gap in smart aquaculture informatics and provides a reproducible benchmark for data-centric machine learning curricula and environmental sensing research focused on head-space dynamics in recirculating aquaculture systems.

Air pollution has become a significant health risk in developing countries. While governments routinely publish air-quality index (AQI) data to track pollution, these values fail to capture the local reality, as sensors are often very sparse. In this paper, we address this gap by predicting AQI in 1 km^2 neighborhoods, using the example of AirDelhi dataset. Using Spatio-temporal GNNs we surpass existing works by 71.654 MSE a 79% reduction, even on unseen coordinates. New insights about AQI such as the existence of strong repetitive short-term patterns and changing spatial relations are also discovered. The code is available on GitHub.

Air pollution has emerged as a major public health challenge in megacities. Numerical simulations and single-site machine learning approaches have been widely applied in air quality forecasting tasks. However, these methods face multiple limitations, including high computational costs, low operational efficiency, and limited integration with observational data. With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence, there is an urgent need to develop a low-cost, efficient air quality forecasting model for smart urban management. An air quality forecasting model, named FuXi-Air, has been constructed in this study based on multimodal data fusion to support high-precision air quality forecasting and operated in typical megacities. The model integrates meteorological forecasts, emission inventories, and pollutant monitoring data under the guidance of air pollution mechanism. By combining an autoregressive prediction framework with a frame interpolation strategy, the model successfully completes 72-hour forecasts for six major air pollutants at an hourly resolution across multiple monitoring sites within 25-30 seconds. In terms of both computational efficiency and forecasting accuracy, it outperforms the mainstream numerical air quality models in operational forecasting work. Ablation experiments concerning key influencing factors show that although meteorological data contribute more to model accuracy than emission inventories do, the integration of multimodal data significantly improves forecasting precision and ensures that reliable predictions are obtained under differing pollution mechanisms across megacities. This study provides both a technical reference and a practical example for applying multimodal data-driven models to air quality forecasting and offers new insights into building hybrid forecasting systems to support air pollution risk warning in smart city management.

Acknowledging the effects of outdoor air pollution, the literature inadequately addresses indoor air pollution's impacts. Despite daily health risks, existing research primarily focused on monitoring, lacking accuracy in pinpointing indoor pollution sources. In our research work, we thoroughly investigated the influence of indoor activities on pollution levels. A survey of 143 participants revealed limited awareness of indoor air pollution. Leveraging 65 days of diverse data encompassing activities like incense stick usage, indoor smoking, inadequately ventilated cooking, excessive AC usage, and accidental paper burning, we developed a comprehensive monitoring system. We identify pollutant sources and effects with high precision through clustering analysis and interpretability models (LIME and SHAP). Our method integrates Decision Trees, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, and SVM models, excelling at 99.8% accuracy with Decision Trees. Continuous 24-hour data allows personalized assessments for targeted pollution reduction strategies, achieving 91% accuracy in predicting activities and pollution exposure.

In this proof-of-concept study, we conduct multivariate timeseries forecasting for the concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), and (fine) particulate matter (PM10 & PM2.5) with meteorological covariates between two locations using various deep learning models, with a focus on long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) architectures. In particular, we propose an integrated, hierarchical model architecture inspired by air pollution dynamics and atmospheric science that employs multi-task learning and is benchmarked by unidirectional and fully-connected models. Results demonstrate that, above all, the hierarchical GRU proves itself as a competitive and efficient method for forecasting the concentration of smog-related pollutants.

On-road air pollution exhibits substantial variability over short distances due to emission sources, dilution, and physicochemical processes. Integrating mobile monitoring data with street view images (SVIs) holds promise for predicting local air pollution. However, algorithms, sampling strategies, and image quality introduce extra errors due to a lack of reliable references that quantify their effects. To bridge this gap, we employed 314 taxis to monitor NO, NO2, PM2.5 and PM10 dynamically and sampled corresponding SVIs, aiming to develop a reliable strategy. We extracted SVI features from ~ 382,000 streetscape images, which were collected at various angles (0{\deg}, 90{\deg}, 180{\deg}, 270{\deg}) and ranges (buffers with radii of 100m, 200m, 300m, 400m, 500m). Also, three machine learning algorithms alongside the linear land-used regression (LUR) model were experimented with to explore the influences of different algorithms. Four typical image quality issues were identified and discussed. Generally, machine learning methods outperform linear LUR for estimating the four pollutants, with the ranking: random forest > XGBoost > neural network > LUR. Compared to single-angle sampling, the averaging strategy is an effective method to avoid bias of insufficient feature capture. Therefore, the optimal sampling strategy is to obtain SVIs at a 100m radius buffer and extract features using the averaging strategy. This approach achieved estimation results for each aggregation location with absolute errors almost less than 2.5 {\mu}g/m^2 or ppb. Overexposure, blur, and underexposure led to image misjudgments and incorrect identifications, causing an overestimation of road features and underestimation of human-activity features, contributing to inaccurate NO, NO2, PM2.5 and PM10 estimation.

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune and inflammatory neurological disorder characterised by episodes of symptom exacerbation, known as relapses. In this study, we investigate the role of environmental factors in relapse occurrence among MS patients, using data from the H2020 BRAINTEASER project. We employed predictive models, including Random Forest (RF) and Logistic Regression (LR), with varying sets of input features to predict the occurrence of relapses based on clinical and pollutant data collected over a week. The RF yielded the best result, with an AUC-ROC score of 0.713. Environmental variables, such as precipitation, NO2, PM2.5, humidity, and temperature, were found to be relevant to the prediction.

This study evaluates the health effects of long-term exposure to PM10 in Seoul. Building on the preliminary model Shin and Bithell (2019), an in-silico agent-based model (ABM) is used to simulate the travel patterns of individuals according to their origins and destinations. During the simulation, each person, with their inherent socio-economic attributes and allocated origin and destination location, is assumed to commute to and from the same places for 10 consecutive years. A nominal measure of their health is set to decrease whenever the concentration of PM10 exceeds the national standard. Sensitivity analysis on calibrated parameters reveals increased vulnerability among certain demographic groups, particularly those aged over 65 and under 15, with a significant health decline associated with road proximity. The study reveals a substantial health disparity after 7,000 simulation ticks (equivalent to 10 years), especially under scenarios of a 3% annual increase in pollution levels. Long-term exposure to PM10 has a significant impact on health vulnerabilities, despite initial resilience being minimal. The study emphasises the importance of future research that takes into account different pollution thresholds as well as more detailed models of population dynamics and pollution generation in order to better understand and mitigate the health effects of air pollution on diverse urban populations.